[metrics-team] significant increase in directly connecting users

[David Fifield]

On Sat, May 04, 2019 at 09:48:00PM +0000, nusenu wrote:
> has anyone spotted the reason behind the current
> increase in directly connecting users?
> 
> https://metrics.torproject.org/userstats-relay-country.png?start=2019-01-03&end=2019-05-04&country=all

I'm not sure I see an increase. Maybe a slight increase from 1.9 M to
2.1 M, but that's not much above the typical weekly variation if you go
back further:
https://metrics.torproject.org/userstats-relay-country.html?start=2018-01-03&end=2019-05-08&country=all&events=off
https://web.archive.org/web/20190508080428/https://metrics.torproject.org/userstats-relay-country.html?start=2018-01-03&end=2019-05-08&country=all&events=off

Currently the most recent data point says 2.5 M, but that's with a frac
of only 39%, and in my experience those values tend to settle down after
a few days when more measurements come in.

2019-04-19,,1822700,,,90
2019-04-20,,1766702,,,89
2019-04-21,,1792010,,,90
2019-04-22,,1943202,,,91
2019-04-23,,2012895,,,89
2019-04-24,,2002446,,,90
2019-04-25,,1961250,,,91
2019-04-26,,1967580,,,91
2019-04-27,,1952097,,,88
2019-04-28,,2019146,,,88
2019-04-29,,2219164,,,89
2019-04-30,,2218316,,,88
2019-05-01,,2120296,,,85
2019-05-02,,2199004,,,85
2019-05-03,,2184945,,,83
2019-05-04,,2108170,,,82
2019-05-05,,2171784,,,79
2019-05-06,,2529648,,,39